A must ready blog entry by our President, Larry Fanning!
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A must ready blog entry by our President, Larry Fanning!
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Comments on the 03 11 2011 Japan (Sendai – Honshu) Earthquake Disaster
Like other areas on the Pacific Ring of Fire, Japan is an area which is a focus of change on the face of the earth, and as such, a focus of earth movement, and earthquakes. On March 11, 2011, one of the largest earthquakes in recorded history occurred off the east coast of northern Honshu, near the city of Sendai, a M8.9 to M9 earthquake struck – and has spawned one of the world’s greatest disasters.

Japan, from a structural geologic and tectonic standpoint, is a volcanic back-arc created by subduction of two major earth tectonic plates under the eastern leading edge of the Eurasian and North American tectonic plates. It is important to note this is not a typo, the northerly half of Japan actually rests on the easterly leading edge limits of the North American plate which is believed to be an arcing wrap-around continuation of the same NA plate portion the Aleutian Islands of Alaska are situated. The underthrusting of the ocean plates induces both the formation of earthquakes as the plates incrementally slip, as well as volcanic activity as a result of the melting and ascension of the byproducts of melting. The geology of Japan is comprised of a crystalline basement of both intrusive and shallow extrusive igneous rocks, and accumulations of sedimentary rocks of both an indigenous nature and sourced from scraping from and fragmental remnants of ancient subduction events. local and regional metamorphism has altered the rocks into metamorphic belts and zones. The Pacific plate subduction zone occurs in an ocean trench off the east coast of the northerly half of the main island of Japan known as Honshu, as well as the northern major island known as Hokkaido. This ocean trench is known as the Japan Trench. The other major plate is the Philippine plate to the southwest of the Pacific plate. This plate slips under the Eurasian plate and the south / east coast of the south half of Honshu and southern Japan (including the two southern major islands known as Shikoku and Kyushu) and continues south and west into Indonesia. In looking at maps of the tectonic plates, structural geology, and distributions of volcanoes, there is to be noted a profound correlation between the distribution and geometry between the earthquakes, volcanoes, and structural geologic features of Japan.
The tectonic activity interacting with the curvature of the earth has introduced several major fault and seismic zones in Japan. Japan, the world’s third largest economy, is also a country with a very dense population, approximately 127-million, in a land area that is on the scale of the size of California. As such, urbanization is very dense, and industrialization is very heavy. Japan is also a world leader in civil engineering.
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These tectonic plates, in particular, the Pacific Plate, move at an average velocity of up to 70 to 83-mm per year in the immediate area of Japan. This is a very high rate, over 50-percent to over twice that of many other seismic areas on earth, including California and New Zealand (about 25 to 50-mm, and 40 to 45-mm, respectively). As no surprise, Japan is an area long known for frequent and large earthquakes and numerous volcanoes, including multiple episodes of historic activity.
The March 11, 2011 earthquake event was measured as M8.9 – one of the largest earthquakes ever – and included many aftershocks of M6 to over M7, which continue. This event included several large foreshocks, the largest being an M7 event on March 9 situated approximately 40-km away from the epicenter of the March 11 event. Since 1973, the Japan Trench has had over 9 major earthquake events equal or exceeding M7. In January 1995, the Kobe Earthquake occurred, December 1994,a 7.8 event occurred about 260-km to the north of the March 11, 2011 event. In 1978,a M7.7 event occurred about 35-km to the southwest.
In the case of the March 11, 2011 earthquake, a large section of the Pacific Plate mobilized and slid under Japan. This M8.9 to M9 event was huge, and caused the entire earth to shift 8 to 10-cm on its “figure” axis (a center of mass axis close to but not exactly aligned with the earth’s rotational axis), according to some experts – as well as caused parts of Japan in the area of the epicenter to move westward up to 13-feet. The earthquakes helped define this subduction zone, and it apparently slips under Japan at an angle of about 14-degrees.
Since this event occurred on a subducting ocean plate, its epicenter was relatively deep – approximately 25 to 32-km beneath the ground surface. The epicenter was also about 80-miles (130-km) offshore of Sendai. Epicenters on strike slip faults, for example, such as those on the Laguna Salada fault zones of California and bordering areas of Mexico, and the Christchurch, New Zealand earthquakes had epicenters of only about 5-km by comparison. Review of the USGS SHAKE maps and other ground motion data indicates that this focal depth combined with the distance offshore helped attenuate ground motions, which were diffused and relatively moderate considering the exceptional magnitude of this earthquake. Although there are many areas of local focusing and amplification of waveforms especially in coastal cities near Sendai, and nearby inland cities in alluviated terrain (including Yamagata and Fukushima located to the south of Sendai), general groundmotions were generally less than 0.5g and typically 0.3g or less away from the vicinity of the epicenter. Although these ground motions may have been attenuated somewhat, the duration of shaking was still very long – reportedly in excess of 5-minutes! Numerous aftershocks representative of the overall plate adjusting to the deformation associated with the foreshocks have been occurring since the Friday March 11 event, and illustrate plate adjustments extending over 200-miles (ie. to south of Tokyo and north of Honshu) to the north and south of Sendai. A total of over 450 M4.5 or greater earthquakes have been reported associated with that in the period Friday March 11 through Monday March 14.
Some incredible ground motions were recorded in the Tohoku region, particularly in the Fukushima (ie. cities of Fukushima and Tsukidate) and Miyagi (ie. coastal cities of Sendai and Natori) Prefectures of Japan. In the current information presented by the CESMD Engineering Strong Motion Data Center of the USGS (reference: “http://www.strongmotioncenter.org/cgi-bin/ncesmd/apktable.pl?iqrid=Japan_11Mar2011″) the highest reported ground motion was 2.993gin the town of Tsukidate, not far to the east of the reactors of Fukushima. Shiogama, located on the coast just to the northeast of Sendai, had reported peak ground motions of 1.883g, and the city of Sendai had reported ground motions of 1.798g.
The earthquakes caused widespread damage by direct shaking and secondary seismic effects such as liquefaction. These effects severely damaged refineries, industrial complexes, and of high interest in the world news – nuclear power plants. At least three nuclear plants in area of Fukushima had issues with respect to cooling and containment – although these may have included partial meltdowns, have not resulted in the 1986 Chernobyl disaster type leakage where reactor materials escaped. Rather, the problems thus far have been more on the level of Three Mile Island, with some escape of relatively low level radiation in steam – as there is no core breach. An excellent layman summary article is available here: http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2011/03/14/6268351-clearing-up-nuclear-questions.
It is important to note that the reactor problems are, according to some preliminary accounts, partially a result of bad luck with respect to timing in that the cooling was shut off just prior to the earthquake, the diesel powered backup generators were disabled by the tsunami, and backup battery power for the pumps lasted only about 8-hours. The remainder and vast majority of Japan’s 58 nuclear powerplants, however, were undamaged.
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The most horrific damage was not due to the direct action of earthquake, but rather due to the generation of tsunamis of up to 10-meters and locally more. These waves were produced when large sections of the associated sea floor suddenly deformed. This deformation caused the overlying ocean water to move suddenly with the sea floor, inducing a sloshing type wave which radiates away from the source of deformation at speeds of 500 or more miles per hour. Within several minutes to about half an hour, these waves spread into the east coast of Japan, and within 24-hours had spread around the majority of the Pacific and parts of the Indian and Antarctic Oceans. The tsunamis hitting Japan, in particular, the low-lying area of Sendai, flooded into and destroyed low elevation level areas along the coast. These waves came in at very high speed – and in the case of Sendai, within minutes, had completely annihilated a large portion of the city as 25 to 40-foot high walls of water saturated with debris in the form of anything from clay and sand to construction rubble/debris to multi-story buildings, trucks, busses, freighters and other ships and even aircraft inundated and scoured the land. This suspended mixture of debris and water was stopped only by elevation. As the water receded, scouring in the reverse direction occurred as the wave moved inextolerably back to the sea, leaving a layer of debris in the wake. This movement of water created giant whirlpools off the coast.
Entire villages and towns were essentially wiped off the face of the map by these waves, leaving nothing but carpets of devastation, or just literally barren ground that was once a populated area. These areas offer little to any survivors currently – there is literally no drinkable water, no food, no electricity and little access, as virtually anything touched by these waves was contaminated or destroyed. An interesting article by AP is here: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110314/ap_on_re_as/as_japan_tsunami_vanished_village. For perspective on loss of life and limb, consider the disaster took place in the mid afternoon (2:45pm local time) on a work day. It only took several minutes to less than half an hour for the tsunamis to reach the shoreline following the earthquake The Sendai area has over 1-million residents. The Fukushima area has a population of over 2-million. The loss of life is likely much higher than the current 3000. These effects – leftover toxic soup from sewage, debris, hazardous materials like fuel oils, household chemicals, rotting food; dead bodies of livestock and people (including the continual washing up of additional dead); dense rubble comprised of literally “everything including the kitchen sink”; and the ongoing lack of sanitation accommodation for survivors – makes for an acutely hazardous and widespread condition that in this writer’s opinion is much more concerning than the nuclear threats from reactor damages – which appear to have been a focus of media hyping and sensationalize alarmism.
Use the embedded map below to navigate the the Fukushima area:
New Zealand is comprised of two large principal islands, and is located southeasterly of Australia and southerly of Fiji, Samoa and Tonga in the Southern Pacific Ocean. The islands of New Zealand are situated in an area of complex plate tectonics. Despite New Zealand being geographically islands, it shares many similarities to California with regard to structural geology and earthquakes.
The islands of New Zealand are located on an active margin of the
Australian tectonic plate and predominantly continental crustal materials (ie. felsic – granitic type rocks) comprise their basement, along with much of the submarine “rise” areas surrounding the islands. These basement complexes are overlain by volcanic and a variety of sedimentary rocks, both marine (ie. limestone) and continental (ie. sandstones, coal). Interwoven with the in-situ rocks are areas of faulted and deformed ocean crustal plate remnants and suspect terrain consisting of islands and continental fragments rafted to and literally plastered onto the islands from plate tectonic activity.
The geologic history, present, and future of the area of New Zealand is strongly controlled by its being located on an active leading plate edge where the Australian plate interacts with the Pacific crustal plate. Unlike the geologic materials associated with the continental Australian plate system, the Pacific plate is comprised of basaltic – mafic type rocks that are much denser than their continental counterparts. Because of this, convergent interactions between the two usually results in the oceanic plate being thrust – or subducted – under the continental plate. This is the case with regard to the North Island, where the Pacific plate is subducting beneath the northeast and east portions of the island. This subduction zone continues northerly as the Kermadec Trench which extends as far as southern Samoa and Tonga. The subduction zone north of the island involves principally ocean crusts on both sides, Pacific plate to the east converging with seafloor / oceanic crust of the Fiji Basin and the Kermadec Ridge. This subduction is active, and is (along with predecessor subduction zones in the geologic past) a primary source of much of the volcanic rock and volcanic and geothermal activity on the North Island. This subduction is also causing a “lift” effect on the North Island, most prominently in the east.
Due to the fact all this tectonic activity takes place on the surface of a sphere, combined with plate geometry and the structural geology of the South Island and adjacent submarine rise, the Kemadec subduction zone northeast off of the North Island is replaced with another intermediary thrust, mapped as the Hikurangi Trough system off the east coast of the North Island. In the northern-northeast area of the South Island, these thrusts transition in the area of the Median Tectonic Line into a major transform fault system dominated by the Alpine Fault Zone. This transform fault system is similar mechanically to the San Andreas Fault Zone of California. Both fault systems are predominately strike-slip, meaning the principal motions are horizontal and roughly parallel to the axis of the fault. Both fault systems are associated with the boundary between the Pacific Plate and a continental margin. Both fault systems are right-lateral, meaning they have offsets where a person on one side of the fault line facing the other side would perceive objects on the opposite fault block to move to the right. These two systems are also a part of the overall Pacific Rim of Fire – referring to the strong concentration of heavy earthquake and volcanic activity associated with the perimeter of the Pacific Ocean.
Unlike the subduction zones to the north, the transform faults on the South Island introduce areas of pronounced uplift in the west, forming the high Southern Alps, and areas along the east (ie. Canterbury and Christchurch) that are depressed and actually are sinking.
The above described tectonic setting is highly active, and involves approximately 45-mm per year of driving force. As would be expected, this area is a focus of earthquake activity. As can be seen on the plots of earthquake activity, literally thousands of earthquakes have occurred in New Zealand historically, including several large to very large events. The exceptional historic earthquakes include the estimated M8.2 event of Wairarapa in 1855, located in the southeast portion of the North Island; the volcanic eruptions of Tarawera (situated in the northeast portion of the North Island) in 1886; a M7.8 event in Hawkes Bay 1931, also situated in the northeast portion of the North Island. The South Island has been relatively quiet historically with respect to large earthquakes, however this prior relative calm has been disrupted by the occurrence of the two relatively recent large earthquakes. These earthquakes include the 2010 M7.1 Earthquake, the mainshock of which occurred in the area of Canterbury on September 3, 2010; and the most recent February 21, 2011 M6.3 event whose mainshock was situated in the area of Christchurch. Both Canterbury and Christchurch are located on the east side of the South Island. The South Island also experienced M6.8 and M5.9 earthquakes in June 1994. These 1994 events occurred about 40 km to the northwest of the Canterbury area in the mountains. An M7.1 earthquake also occurred in the area of Authurs Pass in 1921, about 50 km northwest of the Canterbury area.
Both of these events included hundreds of small to mid sized aftershocks, and many M4.5 and larger. These historic earthquakes of the South Island described herein were all generally shallow in nature (ie. approximately 5 km depth), and were situated near population centers. Based on current understanding, these earthquakes did not occur on the main transforms associated with the Alpine and Hope Fault Zones, but rather on some of the numerous sympathetic faults driven by these main systems. These earthquakes, with the exception of the most recent 2011 Christchurch event, cause widespread property damage but cause little severe personal injury. The 2011 event, however, even though it was on the low end of the major historic earthquakes in terms of absolute magnitude, was responsible for over 160 known deaths and caused severe damage to structures and infrastructure.
One reason for this is the interaction of the epicenter of the Christchurch earthquakes with the structural geology and geometry, causing a local “focusing” of seismic waveforms, especially where these waveforms refract / reflect and combine, forming local ground motions well in excess of 1g. This combined with the location of the epicenter being significantly closer to the highly developed areas of Christchurch – literally right underneath the south east suburbs – than previous events was a main reason for the exceptional damage. Seismic instrumentation indicated peak ground motions of over 1.68g at the Heathcote Valley Primary School, and 0.98g at the Lyttleton Port Company stations. Most of the ground motions were of about 0.5g or less repeatable. An acceleration of 0.5g is considered to be a very strong ground motion capable of considerable damage to failure of ordinary structures and causing damage even in well built structures. The 2011 earthquake also included numerous aftershocks in the M4 to M5 range, which unlike the aftershocks of the previous earthquakes, were in close proximity to developed areas and cause significant additional damage.
In addition to the primary effects of earthquake shaking, severe damage was caused by seismically induced liquefaction in the lowlying / valley and coastal areas underlain by poorly consolidated sandy sediments with shallow groundwater, seismically induced settlement, and landsliding and slope lurching. Since the earthquakes in this event are shallow and all situated roughly directly under the city, and much of the area is directly underlain by soft, alluvial sediments, the waveforms act with little attenuation, and are locally actually amplified and focused like light through a lens by portions of these sediments and confining geology. This combination produced disastrous consequences by literally focusing the earthquake forces into the developed areas of the city. These occurrences related to focusing and amplification of seismic waveforms by soft sedimentary geology were also associated with large earthquakes in California, including the January 1994 Northridge event, and the Easter 2010 Calexico – Laguna Salada event. These California earthquakes caused widespread property damage due to both primary shaking and secondary liquefaction-type actions.
